Mercor
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include
Benchmark ,
General Catalyst ,
Peter Thiel ,
Adam D'Angelo ,
Larry Summers , and
Jack Dorsey .
Base Pay Range $105.00/hr - $140.00/hr
Position Independent Forecaster
Type Contract
Compensation $105–$140/hr
Location Remote
Commitment 10–20 hours/week
Role Responsibilities
Produce structured, probabilistic forecasts across diverse domains like economics, finance, and geopolitics.
Clearly articulate forecasting logic, assumptions, and data inputs to enhance prediction quality.
Draw on models, heuristics, and statistical reasoning to inform predictions and improve AI systems.
Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI researchers to refine forecasting methods.
Provide feedback on prompt quality, resolution criteria, and forecast design to elevate output standards.
Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while contributing to AI model improvement.
Qualifications Must‑Have
Active participation in forecasting platforms (e.g., Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle).
High leaderboard placement or notable tournament track record.
Strong statistical reasoning and ability to work with probabilistic frameworks.
Comfortable documenting thought processes and communicating clearly in writing.
Self‑driven and intellectually curious.
Compensation & Legal
Independent contractor
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started.
Complete a brief form and may be asked to complete a sample forecast.
We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps.
Resources & Support
For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome/welcome
For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com
Seniority level Not Applicable
Employment type Part‑time
Job function Research
Industries
Software Development
Referrals increase your chances of interviewing at Mercor by 2x.
#J-18808-Ljbffr
Benchmark ,
General Catalyst ,
Peter Thiel ,
Adam D'Angelo ,
Larry Summers , and
Jack Dorsey .
Base Pay Range $105.00/hr - $140.00/hr
Position Independent Forecaster
Type Contract
Compensation $105–$140/hr
Location Remote
Commitment 10–20 hours/week
Role Responsibilities
Produce structured, probabilistic forecasts across diverse domains like economics, finance, and geopolitics.
Clearly articulate forecasting logic, assumptions, and data inputs to enhance prediction quality.
Draw on models, heuristics, and statistical reasoning to inform predictions and improve AI systems.
Collaborate with a global network of forecasters and AI researchers to refine forecasting methods.
Provide feedback on prompt quality, resolution criteria, and forecast design to elevate output standards.
Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while contributing to AI model improvement.
Qualifications Must‑Have
Active participation in forecasting platforms (e.g., Metaculus, Polymarket, Kalshi, Numerai, Kaggle).
High leaderboard placement or notable tournament track record.
Strong statistical reasoning and ability to work with probabilistic frameworks.
Comfortable documenting thought processes and communicating clearly in writing.
Self‑driven and intellectually curious.
Compensation & Legal
Independent contractor
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started.
Complete a brief form and may be asked to complete a sample forecast.
We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps.
Resources & Support
For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome/welcome
For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com
Seniority level Not Applicable
Employment type Part‑time
Job function Research
Industries
Software Development
Referrals increase your chances of interviewing at Mercor by 2x.
#J-18808-Ljbffr